In an Angelina-less Year, the HFPA Struggles to Nominate; Let’s Predict

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Like a pesky acquaintance crawling out of the woodwork to ask a favor, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association prods its way into our lives yet again as the second most-relevant set of awards season nominations are announced at 5 AM (PST).  Megan Fox will do the honors this year, although I wouldn’t be surprised if a “satellite” transmission from her bed as Brian Austin Greene moves her lips and mimes her voice (does she even get up that early?) is used instead.

Luckily, there were lots of films relevant on a global scale released this year. Argo, Zero Dark Thirty, The Impossible, Rust and Bone, Amour, and Anna Karenina come to mind as films that ooze with HFPA flair.

While the Screen Actors Guild surprised us all with a few whacky nominations and omissions just yesterday (Nicole Kidman sneaking in for The Paperboy, Emmy winner Julie Bowen of Modern Family somehow out of the race), I wouldn’t expect much in the way of deviation from this year’s pack of films already on the Oscar pathway, especially since it’s going to be hard to nominate HFPA darling Angelina Jolie as she made no contributions to the film industry this year.

Unless they figure out a way to add an emergency last-minute category (simply titled “Angelina Wins Everything), here’s how I see the nominations playing out:

Best Picture (Drama):

Argo

Zero Dark Thirty

Lincoln

The Master

Life of Pi

Django Unchained

Anna Karenina (If they decide to sneak another one in there)

Alternate: The Impossible

 

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)

Les Miserables

Silver Linings Playbook

Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Ted

Hope Springs

Hyde Park on Hudson (If they decide to sneak another one in there)

Alternate: The Sessions

 

Best Actress (Drama)

Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)

Keira Knightley (Anna Karenina)

Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)

Naomi Watts (The Impossible)

Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)

Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild) (If they decide to sneak another one in there)

 

Best Actor (Drama)

Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)

Ben Affleck (Argo)

John Hawkes (The Sessions)

Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)

Anthony Hopkins (Hitchcock)

 

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)

Bill Murray (Hyde Park on Hudson)

Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)

Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)

Tommy Lee Jones (Hope Springs)

Bill Nighy (Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

Mark Wahlberg (Ted) (If they decide to sneak another one in there)

 

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)

Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)

Judi Dench (Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

Meryl Streep (Hope Springs)

Barbra Streisand (The Guilt Trip)

Anna Kendrick (Pitch Perfect)

 

Best Supporting Actor

Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)

Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)

Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)

Alan Arkin (Argo)

Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained)

 

Best Supporting Actress

Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)

Sally Field (Lincoln)

Helen Hunt (The Sessions)

Amy Adams (The Master)

Maggie Smith (Best Exotic Marigold Hotel/Quartet)

 

Best Director

Ben Affleck (Argo)

Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)

Tom Hooper (Les Miserables)

Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)

David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)

 

Best Screenplay

Argo

Lincoln

Silver Linings Playbook

Zero Dark Thirty

Amour

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